Guanacasteca 2-1 Santos de Guapiles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.89
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.9pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.1pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guanacasteca EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos de Guapiles EU Bookmakers 29%
+12% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.75/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.38
+4% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guanacasteca
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Santos de Guapiles
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
27.03.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 0-0 HT 0-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
21.01.2024 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 2-2 HT 1-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
05.11.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 1-0 HT 1-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
03.09.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 1-0 HT 0-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
08.05.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 0-0 HT 0-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
06.03.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 1-0 HT 0-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guanacasteca
2-1
AWAY Santos de Guapiles
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Guanacasteca vs Santos de Guapiles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guanacasteca nicked a narrow win over Santos de Guapiles 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Guanacasteca as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Guanacasteca had 58% of the ball to Santos de Guapiles's 42%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos de Guapiles led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Guanacasteca and 0.67 for Santos de Guapiles.

What was the final score of Guanacasteca vs Santos de Guapiles?

Guanacasteca 2-1 Santos de Guapiles in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guanacasteca vs Santos de Guapiles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guanacasteca win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Guanacasteca 41%, draw 31%, Santos de Guapiles 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guanacasteca), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guanacasteca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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