Progress / AFA Olaine vs JFK Ventspils Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Progress / AFA Olaine v JFK Ventspils — Team-Based Signals
Progress / AFA Olaine vs JFK Ventspils Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
JFK Ventspils
LET1
1-2
HT 1-1
Progress / AFA Olaine
LET1
Progress / AFA Olaine beat JFK Ventspils 2-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 22% / 39% — and on the day Progress / AFA Olaine made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Progress / AFA Olaine had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Progress / AFA Olaine and 1.33 for JFK Ventspils.
What was the final score of Progress / AFA Olaine vs JFK Ventspils?
Progress / AFA Olaine 2-0 JFK Ventspils in the Latvia - 1st Division on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Progress / AFA Olaine vs JFK Ventspils?
Before kick-off our model rated a Progress / AFA Olaine win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Progress / AFA Olaine 40%, draw 22%, JFK Ventspils 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Progress / AFA Olaine), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.