BFA 0-2 Atmosfera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.8pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BFA EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 49%
+17% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.60/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/0.76
+22% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +45%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
275 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BFA
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Atmosfera
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2024 Atmosfera Atmosfera 1-1 HT 1-1 BFA BFA LIT1
29.10.2022 BFA BFA 1-2 HT 0-1 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
23.06.2022 Atmosfera Atmosfera 0-1 HT 0-1 BFA BFA LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BFA
0-2
AWAY Atmosfera
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
POST-MATCH BFA vs Atmosfera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atmosfera saw off BFA 2-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atmosfera as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, BFA had 48% of the ball to Atmosfera's 52%, shots finished 17-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for BFA and 1.00 for Atmosfera.

What was the final score of BFA vs Atmosfera?

BFA 0-2 Atmosfera in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BFA vs Atmosfera?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atmosfera win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split BFA 31%, draw 26%, Atmosfera 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atmosfera) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atmosfera) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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