Atmosfera 1-1 BFA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 25 May 2024

Atmosfera
1-1 HT 1-1
BFA
📅25/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Lithuania - 1st Division – 2024

Atmosfera vs BFA Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.33
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
39%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.6
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
39%
-10.5pp
33%
Draw
25%
+7.6pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+2.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.5pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atmosfera v BFA — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY BFA EU Bookmakers 39%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.22/2.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/2.04
-17% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Atmosfera vs BFA Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atmosfera
1W-0D-1L
AWAY BFA
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.10.2022 BFA BFA 1-2 HT 0-1 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
23.06.2022 Atmosfera Atmosfera 0-1 HT 0-1 BFA BFA LIT1
POST-MATCH Atmosfera vs BFA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atmosfera and BFA couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (29% / 33% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atmosfera and 1.00 for BFA.

What was the final score of Atmosfera vs BFA?

Atmosfera 1-1 BFA in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atmosfera vs BFA?

Before kick-off our model rated an BFA win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Atmosfera 29%, draw 33%, BFA 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (BFA), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BFA) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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