Hegelmann Litauen 2-1 Dziugas Telsiai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.49
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
27%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
25%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
63%
-18.6pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.9pp
27%
Away Win
15%
+11.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.8pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai EU Bookmakers 18%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +15%
1.79/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.10
+2% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +52%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hegelmann Litauen
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-0 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
17.09.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 1-1 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
08.07.2023 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 1-2 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
02.05.2023 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 2-0 HT 1-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
18.03.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-0 HT 1-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
17.09.2022 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-1 HT 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hegelmann Litauen
2-1
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hegelmann Litauen vs Dziugas Telsiai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann Litauen nicked a narrow win over Dziugas Telsiai 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hegelmann Litauen as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Hegelmann Litauen had 54% of the ball to Dziugas Telsiai's 46%, shots finished 13-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hegelmann Litauen had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hegelmann Litauen and 0.67 for Dziugas Telsiai.

What was the final score of Hegelmann Litauen vs Dziugas Telsiai?

Hegelmann Litauen 2-1 Dziugas Telsiai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann Litauen vs Dziugas Telsiai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hegelmann Litauen win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann Litauen 44%, draw 29%, Dziugas Telsiai 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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