Paços De Ferreira 1-0 Torreense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.33
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.36
6+ Goals
8%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
21%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
39%
-9.8pp
34%
Draw
29%
+5.0pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+5.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.3pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paços De Ferreira EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Torreense EU Bookmakers 36%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +10%
1.40/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.24
-20% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
27.1 Crosses 19.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paços De Ferreira
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Torreense
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.09 xG 1.02
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
364 Passes 408
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 2-0 HT 1-0 Torreense Torreense POR2
28.10.2023 Torreense Torreense 1-2 HT 1-1 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paços De Ferreira
1-0
AWAY Torreense
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Paços De Ferreira vs Torreense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paços De Ferreira nicked a narrow win over Torreense 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 34% / 37% — and on the day Paços De Ferreira made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Paços De Ferreira had 43% of the ball to Torreense's 57%, shots finished 11-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Paços De Ferreira had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Paços De Ferreira and 0.50 for Torreense.

What was the final score of Paços De Ferreira vs Torreense?

Paços De Ferreira 1-0 Torreense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paços De Ferreira vs Torreense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torreense win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Paços De Ferreira 29%, draw 34%, Torreense 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Torreense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Torreense) ✓ Under 2.5
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