Paços De Ferreira 2-0 Torreense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.43
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.93
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.7pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paços De Ferreira EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Torreense EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
1.71/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.34
+19% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.4 Crosses 19.5
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paços De Ferreira
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Torreense
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.83 xG 0.18
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
327 Passes 375
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2023 Torreense Torreense 1-2 HT 1-1 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paços De Ferreira
2-0
AWAY Torreense
1.36 xG 1.86
48% Ball Possession 52%
25 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
400 Passes 440
88% Pass Accuracy 87%
34 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paços De Ferreira vs Torreense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paços De Ferreira beat Torreense 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Paços De Ferreira as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Paços De Ferreira had 48% of the ball to Torreense's 52%, shots finished 25-11, expected goals 1.36 to 1.86 — on chances, Torreense could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Paços De Ferreira vs Torreense?

Paços De Ferreira 2-0 Torreense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paços De Ferreira vs Torreense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paços De Ferreira win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Paços De Ferreira 43%, draw 28%, Torreense 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paços De Ferreira), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paços De Ferreira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR2 More Portugal - 2nd Division
9 Mar 2024
14:00 Mafra vs Penafiel Analysis →
17:00 Nacional vs Academico Viseu Analysis →
18:30 Benfica II vs Santa Clara Analysis →
18:30 Porto II vs Vilaverdense Analysis →