Benfica II 0-1 Santa Clara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.57
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.59
6+ Goals
9%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
28%
+8.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
36%
Away Win
43%
-7.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.4pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica II EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara EU Bookmakers 48%
+9% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.53/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.03
+64% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.0 Crosses 18.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica II
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Santa Clara
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.78 xG 0.66
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
291 Passes 376
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 5
29.10.2023 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-1 HT 1-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
07.03.2015 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-1 HT 1-0 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
01.10.2014 Benfica II Benfica II 1-1 HT 1-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR2
01.03.2014 Benfica II Benfica II 2-1 HT 1-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica II
0-1
AWAY Santa Clara
0.77 xG 1.14
67% Ball Possession 33%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
515 Passes 199
88% Pass Accuracy 71%
14 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Benfica II vs Santa Clara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Clara edged past Benfica II 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Santa Clara made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Benfica II had 67% of the ball to Santa Clara's 33%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 0.77 to 1.14.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Benfica II had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Benfica II and 1.00 for Santa Clara.

What was the final score of Benfica II vs Santa Clara?

Benfica II 0-1 Santa Clara in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica II vs Santa Clara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica II win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Benfica II 36%, draw 28%, Santa Clara 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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