Nacional 1-1 Academico Viseu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.66
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.46
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.44
6+ Goals
8%
13.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-3.1pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.4pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Academico Viseu EU Bookmakers 24%
+11% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.91/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.62
+56% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
29.1 Crosses 17.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Academico Viseu
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.43 xG 1.16
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
331 Passes 270
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.10.2023 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 1-1 HT 1-1 Nacional Nacional POR2
21.01.2023 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 1-1 HT 1-1 Nacional Nacional POR2
07.05.2022 Nacional Nacional 1-2 HT 0-2 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
29.12.2021 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 1-4 HT 1-3 Nacional Nacional POR2
05.01.2020 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 0-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Nacional POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional
1-1
AWAY Academico Viseu
2.48 xG 1.68
56% Ball Possession 44%
28 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
244 Passes 177
71% Pass Accuracy 64%
32 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nacional vs Academico Viseu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional and Academico Viseu shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Nacional at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Nacional had 56% of the ball to Academico Viseu's 44%, shots finished 28-16, expected goals 2.48 to 1.68.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Nacional and 1.00 for Academico Viseu.

What was the final score of Nacional vs Academico Viseu?

Nacional 1-1 Academico Viseu in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional vs Academico Viseu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Nacional 53%, draw 20%, Academico Viseu 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nacional), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nacional) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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