Alaniya Vladikavkaz 0-2 Baltika Kaliningrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+0.6pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-1.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.5pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alaniya Vladikavkaz EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad EU Bookmakers 48%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
0.82/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.67
-17% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +52%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
259 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
06.11.2022 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 2-1 HT 2-0 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz RUS1
06.04.2022 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz 0-3 HT 0-2 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS1
25.09.2021 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 1-1 HT 1-1 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz RUS1
02.05.2021 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 2-0 HT 1-0 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz RUS1
07.11.2020 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz 5-0 HT 1-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0-2
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Baltika Kaliningrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baltika Kaliningrad beat Alaniya Vladikavkaz 2-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Baltika Kaliningrad as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Alaniya Vladikavkaz had 52% of the ball to Baltika Kaliningrad's 48%, shots finished 8-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Baltika Kaliningrad led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Alaniya Vladikavkaz and 1.60 for Baltika Kaliningrad.

What was the final score of Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Baltika Kaliningrad?

Alaniya Vladikavkaz 0-2 Baltika Kaliningrad in the Russia - FNL on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Baltika Kaliningrad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Baltika Kaliningrad win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Alaniya Vladikavkaz 28%, draw 30%, Baltika Kaliningrad 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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