Arsenal Tula 1-1 FC Sochi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 13 Oct 2024

Arsenal Tula
1-1
FC Sochi
📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Russia - FNL – 2024/2025

Arsenal Tula vs FC Sochi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.1pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.4pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.2pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arsenal Tula v FC Sochi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Tula EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Sochi EU Bookmakers 38%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.68/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.92
-36% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -43%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
276 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 74%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
15.0 Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5

Arsenal Tula vs FC Sochi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal Tula
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FC Sochi
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.16 xG 1.81
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
340 Passes 332
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.02.2022 FC Sochi FC Sochi 2-0 HT 0-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS
31.10.2021 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 1-2 HT 0-1 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
27.02.2021 FC Sochi FC Sochi 4-0 HT 0-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS
20.09.2020 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 3-2 HT 2-1 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
01.03.2020 FC Sochi FC Sochi 1-2 HT 0-1 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS
20.10.2019 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS

Arsenal Tula 1-1 FC Sochi — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal Tula
1-1
AWAY FC Sochi
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Arsenal Tula vs FC Sochi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Tula and FC Sochi couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Arsenal Tula had 48% of the ball to FC Sochi's 52%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Sochi led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Arsenal Tula and 2.00 for FC Sochi.

What was the final score of Arsenal Tula vs FC Sochi?

Arsenal Tula 1-1 FC Sochi in the Russia - FNL on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Tula vs FC Sochi?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Sochi win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Tula 35%, draw 29%, FC Sochi 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Sochi), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Sochi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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