Coastal Spirit 5-0 Western Suburbs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — New Zealand - Bölgesel, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
25%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
34%
3.17
Over
66%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
67%
1.32
No
33%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1
14%
2-3
40%
4-5
34%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
28%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 67%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
46%
+5.3pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
25%
Away Win
31%
-5.8pp
34%
Under 2.5
28%
+5.4pp
66%
Over 2.5
72%
-5.4pp
67%
BTTS Yes
72%
-4.4pp
33%
BTTS No
28%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coastal Spirit EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Western Suburbs EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -24%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
433 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Coastal Spirit vs Western Suburbs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coastal Spirit swept aside Western Suburbs 5-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Coastal Spirit as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (66%) landed while both teams to score (67%) missed.

What was the final score of Coastal Spirit vs Western Suburbs?

Coastal Spirit 5-0 Western Suburbs in the New Zealand - Bölgesel on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coastal Spirit vs Western Suburbs?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coastal Spirit win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Coastal Spirit 51%, draw 23%, Western Suburbs 25%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coastal Spirit), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Coastal Spirit) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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