Marquense 1-1 Aurora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 13 Oct 2025

Marquense
1-1 HT 0-0
Aurora
📅13/10/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Guatemala - National League – 2025/2026

Marquense vs Aurora Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
21%
3.18
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+0.4pp
21%
Draw
28%
-6.8pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Marquense v Aurora — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marquense EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Aurora EU Bookmakers 29%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
1.45/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.00
+15% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +113% / -58%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards –

Marquense vs Aurora Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marquense
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Aurora
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.08.2025 Aurora Aurora 1-1 HT 0-0 Marquense Marquense GUAT
POST-MATCH Marquense vs Aurora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marquense and Aurora shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Marquense at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Marquense vs Aurora?

Marquense 1-1 Aurora in the Guatemala - National League on 13/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marquense vs Aurora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marquense win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Marquense 47%, draw 21%, Aurora 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Marquense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marquense) ✓ Under 2.5
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GUAT More Guatemala - National League
13 Oct 2025
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