Özbekistan 1-2 Uruguay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 13 Oct 2025

📅13/10/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.13
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
47%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.64
Over
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.52
2-3
39%
1.72
4-5
16%
4.21
6+
12%
21.6
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.52 — our 33% vs market 32.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
23%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
29%
Home Win
21%
+8.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
47%
Away Win
53%
-6.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.6pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Özbekistan The Market 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Uruguay The Market 57%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.25/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.50
-63% / +83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / +28%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
283 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 84%
9.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
16.2 Crosses 18.4
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Özbekistan
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Uruguay
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
3 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 6
395 Passes 394
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
4 Box Touches 39
8 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.06.2018 Uruguay Uruguay 3-0 HT 1-0 Özbekistan Özbekistan HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Özbekistan
1-2
AWAY Uruguay
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
263 Passes 375
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
POST-MATCH Özbekistan vs Uruguay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uruguay nicked a narrow win over Özbekistan 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Uruguay as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Özbekistan had 43% of the ball to Uruguay's 57%, shots finished 7-13.

What was the final score of Özbekistan vs Uruguay?

Özbekistan 1-2 Uruguay in the Friendlies on 13/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Özbekistan vs Uruguay?

Before kick-off our model rated an Uruguay win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Özbekistan 29%, draw 24%, Uruguay 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uruguay) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Uruguay) ✗ Under 2.5
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