Karadağ 2-1 Lihtenştayn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 13 Oct 2025

📅13/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
74%
1.16
Draw
15%
7.13
Away
11%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
2.43
Over
60%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
3.05
No
59%
1.33
Total Goals
0-1
24%
4.84
2-3
41%
1.91
4-5
22%
2.63
6+
13%
6.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
2%
1/X
3%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Karadağ win — 74%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
74%
Home Win
82%
-8.4pp
15%
Draw
12%
+3.3pp
11%
Away Win
6%
+5.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
29%
+12.6pp
59%
BTTS No
71%
-12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karadağ The Market 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Lihtenştayn The Market 8%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.99/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/1.56
+20% / -57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +51%
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
505 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 208 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 2.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 5.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karadağ
2-1
AWAY Lihtenştayn
71% Ball Possession 29%
25 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Karadağ vs Lihtenştayn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karadağ nicked a narrow win over Lihtenştayn 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Karadağ as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Karadağ had 71% of the ball to Lihtenştayn's 29%, shots finished 25-3.

What was the final score of Karadağ vs Lihtenştayn?

Karadağ 2-1 Lihtenştayn in the Friendlies on 13/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karadağ vs Lihtenştayn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karadağ win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Karadağ 74%, draw 15%, Lihtenştayn 11%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karadağ), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karadağ) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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