Sanat Naft 3-1 Havadar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 13 Oct 2025

📅13/10/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.57
Draw
39%
2.77
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.26
Over 2.5
33%
3.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.67
No
56%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
1.62
2-3 Goals
38%
1.92
4-5 Goals
13%
8.86
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
24%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
35%
-7.7pp
39%
Draw
32%
+6.4pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.3pp
67%
Under 2.5
76%
-8.5pp
33%
Over 2.5
24%
+8.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
33%
+10.5pp
56%
BTTS No
67%
-10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanat Naft EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Havadar EU Bookmakers 36%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +49% / +49%
1.51/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/0.00
+58% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +144% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanat Naft
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Havadar
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
01.05.2024 Havadar Havadar 2-1 HT 2-1 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft IRAN
11.11.2023 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft 0-2 HT 0-1 Havadar Havadar IRAN
02.02.2023 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft 0-1 HT 0-0 Havadar Havadar IRAN
26.08.2022 Havadar Havadar 0-1 HT 0-0 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft IRAN
02.06.2022 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft 3-0 Havadar Havadar IRAN
13.01.2022 Havadar Havadar 1-2 HT 0-1 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft IRAN
POST-MATCH Sanat Naft vs Havadar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanat Naft got the better of Havadar 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (27% / 39% / 34%) promised a tight game; Sanat Naft found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sanat Naft and 1.00 for Havadar.

What was the final score of Sanat Naft vs Havadar?

Sanat Naft 3-1 Havadar in the Iran - Azadegan League on 13/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanat Naft vs Havadar?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sanat Naft 27%, draw 39%, Havadar 34%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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