Havadar 2-1 Sanat Naft — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.96
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.64
Over 2.5
35%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-7.7pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.8pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+8.3pp
65%
Under 2.5
57%
+7.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
43%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Havadar EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanat Naft EU Bookmakers 25%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +16%
0.77/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.20
-36% / +96% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Havadar
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Sanat Naft
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
11.11.2023 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft 0-2 HT 0-1 Havadar Havadar IRAN
02.02.2023 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft 0-1 HT 0-0 Havadar Havadar IRAN
26.08.2022 Havadar Havadar 0-1 HT 0-0 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft IRAN
02.06.2022 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft 3-0 Havadar Havadar IRAN
13.01.2022 Havadar Havadar 1-2 HT 0-1 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft IRAN
POST-MATCH Havadar vs Sanat Naft
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Havadar squeezed past Sanat Naft 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 30% — and on the day Havadar made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sanat Naft led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Havadar and 1.20 for Sanat Naft.

What was the final score of Havadar vs Sanat Naft?

Havadar 2-1 Sanat Naft in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Havadar vs Sanat Naft?

Before kick-off our model rated a Havadar win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Havadar 40%, draw 31%, Sanat Naft 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Havadar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Havadar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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