Zob Ahan 0-2 Nassaji Mazandaran — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.36
Over 2.5
31%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.4
No
67%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
47%
1.87
2-3 Goals
38%
1.89
4-5 Goals
9%
7.46
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 1.87 — our 47% vs market 45.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.3pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.7pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.6pp
69%
Under 2.5
70%
-0.7pp
31%
Over 2.5
30%
+0.7pp
33%
BTTS Yes
38%
-4.3pp
67%
BTTS No
62%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zob Ahan EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Nassaji Mazandaran EU Bookmakers 29%
-24% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -22%
0.87/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.08
-27% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
319 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zob Ahan
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Nassaji Mazandaran
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
12.11.2023 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 1-2 HT 1-1 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan IRAN
13.03.2023 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan 1-0 HT 0-0 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran IRAN
06.10.2022 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 0-0 HT 0-0 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan IRAN
24.05.2022 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan 0-0 HT 0-0 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran IRAN
08.01.2022 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 1-0 HT 0-0 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan IRAN
29.01.2021 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 2-3 HT 1-2 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan IRAN
POST-MATCH Zob Ahan vs Nassaji Mazandaran
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nassaji Mazandaran got the better of Zob Ahan 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 29%) promised a tight game; Nassaji Mazandaran found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (67%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zob Ahan had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zob Ahan and 0.67 for Nassaji Mazandaran.

What was the final score of Zob Ahan vs Nassaji Mazandaran?

Zob Ahan 0-2 Nassaji Mazandaran in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zob Ahan vs Nassaji Mazandaran?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zob Ahan win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Zob Ahan 39%, draw 32%, Nassaji Mazandaran 29%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Zob Ahan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zob Ahan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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