Aluminium Arak 1-1 Foolad Khuzestan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 1 May 2024

Aluminium Arak
1-1 HT 0-1
Foolad Khuzestan
📅01/05/2024 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League – 2023/2024

Aluminium Arak vs Foolad Khuzestan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.27
Draw
23%
2.61
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
78%
1.28
Over 2.5
22%
3.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
24%
2.53
No
76%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
50%
1.74
2-3 Goals
34%
1.96
4-5 Goals
10%
8.7
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
41%
+7.3pp
23%
Draw
35%
-12.6pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.1pp
78%
Under 2.5
75%
+3.3pp
22%
Over 2.5
25%
-3.3pp
24%
BTTS Yes
36%
-11.4pp
76%
BTTS No
64%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aluminium Arak v Foolad Khuzestan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aluminium Arak EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Foolad Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -9%
0.96/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/0.96
-17% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
358 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Aluminium Arak vs Foolad Khuzestan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aluminium Arak
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Foolad Khuzestan
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
The Meetings
10.11.2023 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan 1-0 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
04.01.2023 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 0-1 HT 0-1 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan IRAN
13.02.2022 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan 1-0 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
27.10.2021 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 3-0 HT 0-0 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan IRAN
01.04.2021 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 0-0 HT 0-0 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan IRAN
30.11.2020 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan 0-0 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
POST-MATCH Aluminium Arak vs Foolad Khuzestan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aluminium Arak and Foolad Khuzestan couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Aluminium Arak at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (78%) landed while no to both teams scoring (76%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Foolad Khuzestan led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Aluminium Arak and 0.50 for Foolad Khuzestan.

What was the final score of Aluminium Arak vs Foolad Khuzestan?

Aluminium Arak 1-1 Foolad Khuzestan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aluminium Arak vs Foolad Khuzestan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aluminium Arak win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Aluminium Arak 48%, draw 23%, Foolad Khuzestan 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aluminium Arak), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aluminium Arak) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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