Santa Clara U23 1-1 Estoril U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 13 Oct 2025

📅13/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
35%
2.18
Over
65%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
72%
1.59
No
28%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
41%
4-5
30%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
3%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 72%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.2pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.7pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.5pp
35%
Under 2.5
42%
-6.7pp
65%
Over 2.5
58%
+6.7pp
72%
BTTS Yes
59%
+13.2pp
28%
BTTS No
41%
-13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Clara U23 The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Estoril U23 The Market 26%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.00/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/1.70
-39% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Clara U23
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Estoril U23
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
05.11.2024 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 1-3 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 UŞGB
21.08.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 3-0 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Clara U23
1-1
AWAY Estoril U23
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
REVIEW Santa Clara U23 vs Estoril U23
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 1-1 draw left Santa Clara U23 and Estoril U23 with a point apiece.

We leaned Santa Clara U23 at 46% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. For what it's worth, the market was even more convinced — 1.75, about 57% — so the upset beat the price as well as us. On goals, both teams to score (72%) landed while over 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

The match data tells the story: possession split 55% to 45% in Santa Clara U23's favour, shots finished 10-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Estoril U23 led the recent series with 2 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Santa Clara U23 against 3.00 for Estoril U23.

Santa Clara U23 vs Estoril U23 Result & Final Score

Santa Clara U23 1-1 Estoril U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 13/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Santa Clara U23 vs Estoril U23 Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Clara U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara U23 46%, draw 28%, Estoril U23 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Santa Clara U23), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santa Clara U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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UŞGB More Portugal - U23 National Championship
13 Oct 2025
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