Roma (K) 0-3 Lyon (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 13 Nov 2024

📅13/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.4
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
55%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.89
Over Pick
56%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
46%
4-5
20%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
15%
+10.3pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.1pp
55%
Away Win
66%
-11.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
31%
+13.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
69%
-13.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.2pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roma (K) EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyon (K) EU Bookmakers 71%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.40/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.60/0.64
-12% / +115% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +9%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
274 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 82%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 45.1
13.0 Crosses 29.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roma (K)
0-3
AWAY Lyon (K)
0.22 xG 2.05
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
311 Passes 479
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 44
10 Crosses 27
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Roma (K) vs Lyon (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyon (K) swept aside Roma (K) 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lyon (K) as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Roma (K) had 41% of the ball to Lyon (K)'s 59%, shots finished 5-19, expected goals 0.22 to 2.05.

What was the final score of Roma (K) vs Lyon (K)?

Roma (K) 0-3 Lyon (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 13/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roma (K) vs Lyon (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lyon (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Roma (K) 26%, draw 19%, Lyon (K) 55%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lyon (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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