America Mineiro vs Ituano Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
America Mineiro v Ituano — Team-Based Signals
America Mineiro vs Ituano Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
America Mineiro 3-2 Ituano — Actual Match Statistics
America Mineiro edged past Ituano 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had America Mineiro as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, America Mineiro had 65% of the ball to Ituano's 35%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 0.81 to 0.92.
What was the final score of America Mineiro vs Ituano?
America Mineiro 3-2 Ituano in the Brazil - Serie B on 13/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for America Mineiro vs Ituano?
Before kick-off our model rated a America Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split America Mineiro 55%, draw 23%, Ituano 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America Mineiro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.