Botafogo SP 1-4 Ceara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 13 Nov 2024

📅13/11/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.75
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
41%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.3
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.32
6+ Goals
7%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
7%
X/2
22%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
24%
+5.3pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.5pp
41%
Away Win
47%
-5.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.1pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botafogo SP EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceara EU Bookmakers 50%
+8% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.01/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.93
+18% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -38%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 81%
14.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
16.6 Crosses 27.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botafogo SP
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Ceara
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.64 xG 1.96
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
296 Passes 313
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.07.2024 Ceara Ceara 4-1 HT 3-1 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
04.11.2023 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 2-2 HT 1-1 Ceara Ceara BR2
08.07.2023 Ceara Ceara 3-0 HT 1-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botafogo SP
1-4
AWAY Ceara
0.42 xG 2.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
280 Passes 370
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 16
8 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Botafogo SP vs Ceara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceara cruised past Botafogo SP 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ceara as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Botafogo SP had 44% of the ball to Ceara's 56%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.42 to 2.17.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ceara led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Botafogo SP and 3.00 for Ceara.

What was the final score of Botafogo SP vs Ceara?

Botafogo SP 1-4 Ceara in the Brazil - Serie B on 13/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botafogo SP vs Ceara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ceara win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Botafogo SP 29%, draw 30%, Ceara 41%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ceara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR2 More Brazil - Serie B
13 Nov 2024
01:00 America Mineiro vs Ituano Analysis →
03:00 Guarani FC vs Amazonas Analysis →