Lüksemburg U21 1-3 İzlanda U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 13 Nov 2025

📅13/11/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-0.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.1pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lüksemburg U21 EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY İzlanda U21 EU Bookmakers 49%
+39% / +39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.81/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.95
+34% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +13%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
262 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lüksemburg U21
0W-0D-3L
AWAY İzlanda U21
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
3 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 0
14.10.2025 İzlanda U21 İzlanda U21 2-1 HT 1-1 Lüksemburg U21 Lüksemburg U21 U21
13.10.2020 Lüksemburg U21 Lüksemburg U21 0-2 HT 0-2 İzlanda U21 İzlanda U21 U21
06.09.2019 İzlanda U21 İzlanda U21 3-0 HT 0-0 Lüksemburg U21 Lüksemburg U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lüksemburg U21
1-3
AWAY İzlanda U21
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lüksemburg U21 vs İzlanda U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İzlanda U21 got the better of Lüksemburg U21 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had İzlanda U21 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Lüksemburg U21 had 57% of the ball to İzlanda U21's 43%, shots finished 9-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, İzlanda U21 led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Lüksemburg U21 and 2.33 for İzlanda U21.

What was the final score of Lüksemburg U21 vs İzlanda U21?

Lüksemburg U21 1-3 İzlanda U21 in the European U21 on 13/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lüksemburg U21 vs İzlanda U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an İzlanda U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lüksemburg U21 32%, draw 24%, İzlanda U21 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İzlanda U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (İzlanda U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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