İzlanda U21 2-1 Lüksemburg U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 14 Oct 2025

📅14/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.57
Draw
18%
3.94
Away
14%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.07
Over 2.5
65%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.66
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.05
6+ Goals
13%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
60%
+8.3pp
18%
Draw
22%
-4.0pp
14%
Away Win
18%
-4.4pp
35%
Under 2.5
44%
-8.9pp
65%
Over 2.5
56%
+8.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İzlanda U21 EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Lüksemburg U21 EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
3.31/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/2.85
+54% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -34%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
407 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İzlanda U21
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Lüksemburg U21
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
13.10.2020 Lüksemburg U21 Lüksemburg U21 0-2 HT 0-2 İzlanda U21 İzlanda U21 U21
06.09.2019 İzlanda U21 İzlanda U21 3-0 HT 0-0 Lüksemburg U21 Lüksemburg U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İzlanda U21
2-1
AWAY Lüksemburg U21
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH İzlanda U21 vs Lüksemburg U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İzlanda U21 nicked a narrow win over Lüksemburg U21 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had İzlanda U21 as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%) came in.

On the day, İzlanda U21 had 56% of the ball to Lüksemburg U21's 44%, shots finished 14-3.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, İzlanda U21 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for İzlanda U21 and 0.00 for Lüksemburg U21.

What was the final score of İzlanda U21 vs Lüksemburg U21?

İzlanda U21 2-1 Lüksemburg U21 in the European U21 on 14/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İzlanda U21 vs Lüksemburg U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a İzlanda U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split İzlanda U21 68%, draw 18%, Lüksemburg U21 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İzlanda U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (İzlanda U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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