Karadağ U21 3-2 Kuzey Makedonya U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 14 Oct 2025

📅14/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.7pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karadağ U21 EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Kuzey Makedonya U21 EU Bookmakers 29%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
0.61/0.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/0.94
-69% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +70%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karadağ U21
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Kuzey Makedonya U21
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
17.11.2020 Kuzey Makedonya U21 Kuzey Makedonya U21 2-1 HT 1-0 Karadağ U21 Karadağ U21 U21
10.10.2019 Karadağ U21 Karadağ U21 1-2 HT 1-2 Kuzey Makedonya U21 Kuzey Makedonya U21 U21
24.03.2017 Kuzey Makedonya U21 Kuzey Makedonya U21 2-0 HT 1-0 Karadağ U21 Karadağ U21 HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karadağ U21
3-2
AWAY Kuzey Makedonya U21
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Karadağ U21 vs Kuzey Makedonya U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karadağ U21 squeezed past Kuzey Makedonya U21 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Karadağ U21 as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Karadağ U21 had 63% of the ball to Kuzey Makedonya U21's 37%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kuzey Makedonya U21 led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Karadağ U21 and 2.00 for Kuzey Makedonya U21.

What was the final score of Karadağ U21 vs Kuzey Makedonya U21?

Karadağ U21 3-2 Kuzey Makedonya U21 in the European U21 on 14/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karadağ U21 vs Kuzey Makedonya U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karadağ U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Karadağ U21 48%, draw 23%, Kuzey Makedonya U21 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karadağ U21) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karadağ U21) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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