Azerbaycan U21 3-3 İskoçya U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 14 Oct 2025

📅14/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.91
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
56%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.1
Over 2.5
44%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.84
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
2.95
6+ Goals
8%
9.29
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.84 — our 32% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
43%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
14%
+4.6pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.1pp
56%
Away Win
66%
-9.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+12.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-12.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.2pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Azerbaycan U21 EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY İskoçya U21 EU Bookmakers 70%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
0.67/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/2.13
-28% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -56%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
213 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 479 · 84%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.0 Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Azerbaycan U21
0W-1D-1L
AWAY İskoçya U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
02.03.2010 İskoçya U21 İskoçya U21 2-2 HT 1-1 Azerbaycan U21 Azerbaycan U21 U21
14.11.2009 Azerbaycan U21 Azerbaycan U21 0-4 HT 0-2 İskoçya U21 İskoçya U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Azerbaycan U21
3-3
AWAY İskoçya U21
26% Ball Possession 74%
6 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 19
6 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Azerbaycan U21 vs İskoçya U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Azerbaycan U21 and İskoçya U21 shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had İskoçya U21 at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Azerbaycan U21 had 26% of the ball to İskoçya U21's 74%, shots finished 6-20.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, İskoçya U21 led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Azerbaycan U21 and 3.00 for İskoçya U21.

What was the final score of Azerbaycan U21 vs İskoçya U21?

Azerbaycan U21 3-3 İskoçya U21 in the European U21 on 14/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Azerbaycan U21 vs İskoçya U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an İskoçya U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Azerbaycan U21 19%, draw 25%, İskoçya U21 56%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (İskoçya U21) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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