Freiburg 3-2 Wolfsburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 13 Dec 2024

Freiburg
3-2 HT 1-0
Wolfsburg
📅13/12/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Freiburg vs Wolfsburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.26
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
25%
3.41
6+ Goals
9%
13.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.15
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
8%
12.95
X/1
16%
5.01
X/2
11%
6.53
X/X
11%
4.62
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
18%
4.59
2/X
7%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.9pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Freiburg v Wolfsburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Freiburg EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolfsburg EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.77/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.35
+6% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
19.0 Crosses 18.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4

Freiburg vs Wolfsburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Freiburg
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Wolfsburg
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.33 xG 1.29
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
300 Passes 396
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.04.2024 Freiburg Freiburg 1-2 HT 1-0 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
09.12.2023 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Freiburg Freiburg AL1
22.07.2023 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 3-2 HT 0-1 Freiburg Freiburg HAZ
19.05.2023 Freiburg Freiburg 2-0 HT 0-0 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
21.01.2023 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 6-0 HT 3-0 Freiburg Freiburg AL1
12.03.2022 Freiburg Freiburg 3-2 HT 2-0 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1

Freiburg 3-2 Wolfsburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Freiburg
3-2
AWAY Wolfsburg
2.18 xG 1.81
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 20
9 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
382 Passes 329
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Freiburg vs Wolfsburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Freiburg nicked a narrow win over Wolfsburg 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Freiburg made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Freiburg had 53% of the ball to Wolfsburg's 47%, shots finished 18-20, expected goals 2.18 to 1.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Freiburg and 2.17 for Wolfsburg.

What was the final score of Freiburg vs Wolfsburg?

Freiburg 3-2 Wolfsburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Freiburg vs Wolfsburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Freiburg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Freiburg 38%, draw 26%, Wolfsburg 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Freiburg), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Freiburg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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