Hertha Berlin 1-2 Preussen Münster — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 13 Dec 2024

📅13/12/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.62
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.16
6+ Goals
11%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.2
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.25
X/1
22%
4.01
X/2
8%
9.41
X/X
10%
5.54
2/1
5%
22.55
2/2
9%
7.12
2/X
7%
15.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-2.3pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.5pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hertha Berlin EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Preussen Münster EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.83/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.26
+20% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +42%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
365 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 72%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
21.7 Crosses 16.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hertha Berlin
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Preussen Münster
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.45 xG 1.48
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 19
8 Shots on Target 8
11 Corners 5
334 Passes 244
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
33 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 5
26.10.2021 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 1-3 HT 1-1 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hertha Berlin
1-2
AWAY Preussen Münster
1.79 xG 2.29
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
417 Passes 230
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hertha Berlin vs Preussen Münster
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Preussen Münster edged past Hertha Berlin 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Hertha Berlin at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Hertha Berlin had 62% of the ball to Preussen Münster's 38%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.79 to 2.29.

What was the final score of Hertha Berlin vs Preussen Münster?

Hertha Berlin 1-2 Preussen Münster in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hertha Berlin vs Preussen Münster?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hertha Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Hertha Berlin 54%, draw 24%, Preussen Münster 23%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Hertha Berlin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hertha Berlin) ✓ Over 2.5
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