Karlsruher SC 4-2 Jahn Regensburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 13 Dec 2024

Karlsruher SC
4-2 HT 1-1
Jahn Regensburg
📅13/12/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Karlsruher SC vs Jahn Regensburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.45
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.24
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
27%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
8.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.78
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.45
X/1
17%
3.75
X/2
5%
13.65
X/X
10%
6.51
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
21.7
2/2
12%
10.4
2/X
8%
18.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.7 — our 11% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
65%
-10.1pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.6pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.4pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Karlsruher SC v Jahn Regensburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karlsruher SC EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Jahn Regensburg EU Bookmakers 18%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -14%
1.59/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.74
-11% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -23%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
431 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 71%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
23.4 Crosses 16.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8

Karlsruher SC vs Jahn Regensburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karlsruher SC
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Jahn Regensburg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.67 xG 1.10
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
277 Passes 252
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.02.2023 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 1-0 HT 1-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
20.08.2022 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 0-6 HT 0-3 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
13.03.2022 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 1-1 HT 0-1 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
02.10.2021 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 2-2 HT 0-1 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
07.02.2021 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
03.10.2020 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 1-0 HT 1-0 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2

Karlsruher SC 4-2 Jahn Regensburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karlsruher SC
4-2
AWAY Jahn Regensburg
3.57 xG 2.19
69% Ball Possession 31%
18 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 0
388 Passes 150
81% Pass Accuracy 67%
27 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Karlsruher SC vs Jahn Regensburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlsruher SC beat Jahn Regensburg 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Karlsruher SC as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Karlsruher SC had 69% of the ball to Jahn Regensburg's 31%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 3.57 to 2.19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karlsruher SC had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Karlsruher SC and 0.67 for Jahn Regensburg.

What was the final score of Karlsruher SC vs Jahn Regensburg?

Karlsruher SC 4-2 Jahn Regensburg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karlsruher SC vs Jahn Regensburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karlsruher SC win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Karlsruher SC 55%, draw 24%, Jahn Regensburg 21%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karlsruher SC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karlsruher SC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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