Waasland-Beveren 1-0 Lierse Kempenzonen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 13 Dec 2024

📅13/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.3
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.25
6+ Goals
9%
12.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 28% vs market 23.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-5.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.3pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waasland-Beveren EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen EU Bookmakers 30%
-21% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
1.25/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.60
-10% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
20.2 Crosses 21.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waasland-Beveren
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.71 xG 1.23
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
342 Passes 308
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2024 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 3-1 HT 2-1 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
04.11.2023 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 2-2 HT 1-1 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
07.05.2023 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 2-3 HT 1-2 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
17.03.2023 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 2-0 HT 1-0 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
13.11.2022 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 1-5 HT 1-0 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
02.10.2022 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 5-0 HT 2-0 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waasland-Beveren
1-0
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen
0.89 xG 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 10
318 Passes 311
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 34
14 Crosses 32
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Waasland-Beveren vs Lierse Kempenzonen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waasland-Beveren nicked a narrow win over Lierse Kempenzonen 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Waasland-Beveren as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Waasland-Beveren had 49% of the ball to Lierse Kempenzonen's 51%, shots finished 12-22, expected goals 0.89 to 1.50 — on chances, Lierse Kempenzonen could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Waasland-Beveren had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Waasland-Beveren and 1.00 for Lierse Kempenzonen.

What was the final score of Waasland-Beveren vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

Waasland-Beveren 1-0 Lierse Kempenzonen in the Belgium - 1st Division on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waasland-Beveren vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Waasland-Beveren win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Waasland-Beveren 42%, draw 25%, Lierse Kempenzonen 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Waasland-Beveren), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Waasland-Beveren) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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