Lokomotiv Mz 0-1 Botev Vratsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - Cup, 13 Dec 2024

📅13/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
6.35
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
48%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
13%
+11.4pp
28%
Draw
21%
+7.1pp
47%
Away Win
66%
-18.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.6pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Mz EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 70%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
209 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Mz
0-1
AWAY Botev Vratsa
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 7
0 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Mz vs Botev Vratsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Vratsa squeezed past Lokomotiv Mz 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Botev Vratsa as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Lokomotiv Mz had 40% of the ball to Botev Vratsa's 60%, shots finished 5-7.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Mz vs Botev Vratsa?

Lokomotiv Mz 0-1 Botev Vratsa in the Bulgaria - Cup on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Mz vs Botev Vratsa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Botev Vratsa win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Mz 24%, draw 28%, Botev Vratsa 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botev Vratsa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Botev Vratsa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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