PFC Beroe 2-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - Cup, 13 Dec 2024

📅13/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
28%
X/2
10%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.9pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PFC Beroe
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
07.12.2024 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-2 HT 0-1 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
10.08.2024 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-2 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
14.04.2024 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 2-2 HT 1-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
20.10.2023 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-2 HT 0-2 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
13.03.2023 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-0 HT 0-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
23.03.2019 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 3-3 HT 1-3 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PFC Beroe
2-0
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH PFC Beroe vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PFC Beroe saw off Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had PFC Beroe as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, PFC Beroe had 47% of the ball to Lokomotiv Plovdiv's 53%, shots finished 12-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PFC Beroe had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for PFC Beroe and 1.50 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.

What was the final score of PFC Beroe vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

PFC Beroe 2-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - Cup on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PFC Beroe vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a PFC Beroe win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split PFC Beroe 49%, draw 27%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PFC Beroe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PFC Beroe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BULK More Bulgaria - Cup
13 Dec 2024
14:00 Lokomotiv Mz vs Botev Vratsa Analysis →