Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-2 PFC Beroe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+5.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.5pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 45%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.05/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.04
-2% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -15%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
247 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1W-3D-1L
AWAY PFC Beroe
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
10.08.2024 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-2 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
14.04.2024 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 2-2 HT 1-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
20.10.2023 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-2 HT 0-2 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
13.03.2023 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-0 HT 0-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
23.03.2019 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 3-3 HT 1-3 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1-2
AWAY PFC Beroe
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs PFC Beroe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PFC Beroe squeezed past Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; PFC Beroe found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lokomotiv Plovdiv had 62% of the ball to PFC Beroe's 38%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 1.40 for PFC Beroe.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs PFC Beroe?

Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-2 PFC Beroe in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs PFC Beroe?

Before kick-off our model rated an PFC Beroe win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Plovdiv 35%, draw 27%, PFC Beroe 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PFC Beroe) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PFC Beroe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
7 Dec 2024
16:00 Botev Vratsa vs Cherno More Varna Analysis →
18:30 CSKA Sofia vs CSKA 1948 Sofia Analysis →