PSM Makassar 1-1 PSS Sleman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 13 Dec 2024

📅13/12/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.9
Over
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
42%
4-5
21%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
52%
Home Win
61%
-8.9pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.2pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.5pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSM Makassar The Market 65%
Head to Head
AWAY PSS Sleman The Market 20%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.86/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.24
+5% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +38%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
411 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSM Makassar
4W-2D-0L
AWAY PSS Sleman
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
159 Passes 340
69% Pass Accuracy 78%
08.03.2024 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 2-1 HT 0-0 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman ENDL1
14.01.2023 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 4-0 HT 2-0 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman ENDL1
23.07.2022 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman 1-2 HT 0-2 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
01.03.2022 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman 0-0 HT 0-0 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
18.11.2021 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 2-2 HT 1-1 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman ENDL1
01.03.2020 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 2-1 HT 1-0 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman ENDL1
POST-MATCH PSM Makassar vs PSS Sleman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSM Makassar and PSS Sleman couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was PSM Makassar at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSM Makassar had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for PSM Makassar and 0.83 for PSS Sleman.

What was the final score of PSM Makassar vs PSS Sleman?

PSM Makassar 1-1 PSS Sleman in the Indonesia League 1 on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSM Makassar vs PSS Sleman?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSM Makassar win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split PSM Makassar 52%, draw 28%, PSS Sleman 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (PSM Makassar), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PSM Makassar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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