Trefelin 4-3 Newport City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 13 Dec 2024

📅13/12/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.9
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
48%
+5.9pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.9pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-13.0pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trefelin EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Newport City EU Bookmakers 32%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.38/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.26
-33% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +45%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trefelin
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Newport City
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
07.09.2024 Newport City Newport City 1-0 HT 0-0 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
POST-MATCH Trefelin vs Newport City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trefelin nicked a narrow win over Newport City 4-3. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Trefelin as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Trefelin vs Newport City?

Trefelin 4-3 Newport City in the Wales - FAW Championship on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trefelin vs Newport City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trefelin win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Trefelin 54%, draw 19%, Newport City 27%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trefelin), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trefelin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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