Newport City vs Trefelin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newport City v Trefelin — Team-Based Signals
Newport City nicked a narrow win over Trefelin 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Newport City as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
What was the final score of Newport City vs Trefelin?
Newport City 1-0 Trefelin in the Wales - FAW Championship on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newport City vs Trefelin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Newport City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Newport City 45%, draw 24%, Trefelin 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newport City), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.