CF Os Belenenses 2-2 Sporting Covilha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 13 Dec 2024

📅13/12/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
35%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-9.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
35%
Away Win
24%
+10.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Covilha EU Bookmakers 28%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.34/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.12
-1% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
367 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Os Belenenses
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Sporting Covilha
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.28 xG 1.11
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
304 Passes 296
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 3
01.09.2024 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 2-2 HT 1-1 CF Os Belenenses POR3
30.04.2023 CF Os Belenenses 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR2
13.11.2022 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 1-1 HT 0-1 CF Os Belenenses POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CF Os Belenenses
2-2
AWAY Sporting Covilha
65% Ball Possession 35%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CF Os Belenenses vs Sporting Covilha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Os Belenenses and Sporting Covilha couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, CF Os Belenenses had 65% of the ball to Sporting Covilha's 35%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sporting Covilha led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CF Os Belenenses and 1.33 for Sporting Covilha.

What was the final score of CF Os Belenenses vs Sporting Covilha?

CF Os Belenenses 2-2 Sporting Covilha in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Os Belenenses vs Sporting Covilha?

Before kick-off our model rated a CF Os Belenenses win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split CF Os Belenenses 40%, draw 26%, Sporting Covilha 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CF Os Belenenses) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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