Adanaspor 3-1 Yeni Malatyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 13 Dec 2024

📅13/12/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.27
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
75%
-14.3pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.6pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adanaspor EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeni Malatyaspor EU Bookmakers 9%
-18% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
1.69/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/2.77
-2% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -19%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
433 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 74%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.7
28.7 Crosses 8.6
3.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adanaspor
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Yeni Malatyaspor
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.10 xG 2.56
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
271 Passes 276
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
22.01.2023 Adanaspor Adanaspor 2-2 HT 1-0 Yeni Malatyaspor Yeni Malatyaspor T1L
21.08.2022 Yeni Malatyaspor Yeni Malatyaspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
27.07.2017 Yeni Malatyaspor Yeni Malatyaspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Adanaspor Adanaspor HAZ
28.07.2016 Adanaspor Adanaspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Yeni Malatyaspor Yeni Malatyaspor HAZ
27.02.2016 Yeni Malatyaspor Yeni Malatyaspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
28.09.2015 Adanaspor Adanaspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Yeni Malatyaspor Yeni Malatyaspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adanaspor
3-1
AWAY Yeni Malatyaspor
3.55 xG 1.25
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 0
319 Passes 136
75% Pass Accuracy 56%
46 Box Touches 3
30 Crosses 2
0 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Adanaspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adanaspor beat Yeni Malatyaspor 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Adanaspor as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Adanaspor had 65% of the ball to Yeni Malatyaspor's 35%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 3.55 to 1.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Adanaspor and 1.00 for Yeni Malatyaspor.

What was the final score of Adanaspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor?

Adanaspor 3-1 Yeni Malatyaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adanaspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adanaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Adanaspor 61%, draw 23%, Yeni Malatyaspor 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Adanaspor), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Adanaspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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