MKE Ankaragücü 0-1 Manisa FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 13 Dec 2024

📅13/12/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.33
Over 2.5
46%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
4.94
2-3 Goals
35%
1.96
4-5 Goals
23%
2.82
6+ Goals
10%
7.58
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.94 — our 32% vs market 15.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.13
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.7
X/1
19%
4.21
X/2
10%
9.8
X/X
15%
6.27
2/1
7%
20.45
2/2
12%
6.72
2/X
5%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
57%
-11.9pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.7pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
39%
+14.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
61%
-14.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.1pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MKE Ankaragücü EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 25%
+7% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -19%
1.31/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.43
-11% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
20.6 Crosses 17.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MKE Ankaragücü
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Manisa FK
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.69 xG 1.29
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 4
316 Passes 468
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 20
9 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 5
20.03.2022 Manisa FK Manisa FK 1-1 HT 0-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü T1L
22.10.2021 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 2-1 HT 2-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MKE Ankaragücü
0-1
AWAY Manisa FK
2.35 xG 1.02
59% Ball Possession 41%
22 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 6
368 Passes 229
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
36 Box Touches 16
28 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH MKE Ankaragücü vs Manisa FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manisa FK squeezed past MKE Ankaragücü 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was MKE Ankaragücü at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, MKE Ankaragücü had 59% of the ball to Manisa FK's 41%, shots finished 22-12, expected goals 2.35 to 1.02 — the balance of chances actually favoured MKE Ankaragücü.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, MKE Ankaragücü had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for MKE Ankaragücü and 1.00 for Manisa FK.

What was the final score of MKE Ankaragücü vs Manisa FK?

MKE Ankaragücü 0-1 Manisa FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MKE Ankaragücü vs Manisa FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a MKE Ankaragücü win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split MKE Ankaragücü 45%, draw 27%, Manisa FK 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü) ✓ Under 2.5
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