Bodrum FK 2-0 Sivasspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 13 Dec 2024

📅13/12/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.61
6+ Goals
11%
15.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.14
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
20%
4.91
X/2
14%
6.58
X/X
11%
4.44
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
13%
4.76
2/X
7%
13.35
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 8% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.7pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.2pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bodrum FK EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 33%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +18%
0.94/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.52
-52% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
15.4 Crosses 17.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bodrum FK
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sivasspor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
31.10.2018 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK 2-1 HT 1-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bodrum FK
2-0
AWAY Sivasspor
1.50 xG 0.39
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 2
278 Passes 352
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bodrum FK vs Sivasspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bodrum FK got the better of Sivasspor 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bodrum FK as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Bodrum FK had 44% of the ball to Sivasspor's 56%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 1.50 to 0.39.

What was the final score of Bodrum FK vs Sivasspor?

Bodrum FK 2-0 Sivasspor in the Turkey - Super League on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bodrum FK vs Sivasspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bodrum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bodrum FK 41%, draw 24%, Sivasspor 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bodrum FK) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bodrum FK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TSL More Turkey - Super League
13 Dec 2024
20:00 Kasımpaşa vs Eyüpspor Analysis →