Kasımpaşa 2-0 Eyüpspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 13 Dec 2024

📅13/12/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.53
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.21
6+ Goals
11%
11.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.53 — our 28% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.5
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
19%
5.47
X/2
12%
5.88
X/X
15%
4.88
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
14%
3.89
2/X
7%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.8pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.3pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kasımpaşa EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Eyüpspor EU Bookmakers 38%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.66/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.32
+26% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
305 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 82%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
21.9 Crosses 15.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kasımpaşa
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Eyüpspor
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
21.08.2008 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 1-3 HT 1-1 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa HAL
20.12.2006 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 2-2 HT 1-1 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor HAZ
04.12.2005 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 2-0 HT 2-0 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor T2-1
25.09.2005 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 2-2 HT 1-1 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa T2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kasımpaşa
2-0
AWAY Eyüpspor
1.45 xG 0.84
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
268 Passes 339
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kasımpaşa vs Eyüpspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kasımpaşa saw off Eyüpspor 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Kasımpaşa found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kasımpaşa had 46% of the ball to Eyüpspor's 54%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.45 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kasımpaşa had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Kasımpaşa and 1.25 for Eyüpspor.

What was the final score of Kasımpaşa vs Eyüpspor?

Kasımpaşa 2-0 Eyüpspor in the Turkey - Super League on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kasımpaşa vs Eyüpspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kasımpaşa win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kasımpaşa 38%, draw 29%, Eyüpspor 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kasımpaşa), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kasımpaşa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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