SC Villa 1-1 Uganda Police — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 13 Dec 2024

SC Villa
1-1 HT 1-0
Uganda Police
📅13/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Uganda - Premier League – 2025/2026

SC Villa vs Uganda Police Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.76
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
26%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-9.0pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.3pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

SC Villa v Uganda Police — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SC Villa EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Uganda Police EU Bookmakers 23%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.82/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/0.97
+101% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +31%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
256 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.3

SC Villa vs Uganda Police Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SC Villa
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Uganda Police
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
29.10.2021 SC Villa SC Villa 1-0 HT 0-0 Uganda Police Uganda Police UGA

SC Villa 1-1 Uganda Police — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SC Villa
1-1
AWAY Uganda Police
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SC Villa vs Uganda Police
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SC Villa and Uganda Police shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was SC Villa at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, SC Villa had 47% of the ball to Uganda Police's 53%, shots finished 9-12.

What was the final score of SC Villa vs Uganda Police?

SC Villa 1-1 Uganda Police in the Uganda - Premier League on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SC Villa vs Uganda Police?

Before kick-off our model rated a SC Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split SC Villa 44%, draw 33%, Uganda Police 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (SC Villa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SC Villa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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