Express vs URA Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Express v URA — Team-Based Signals
Express vs URA Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
URA
UGA
0-0
HT 0-0
Express
UGA
Express 1-2 URA — Actual Match Statistics
URA edged past Express 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; URA found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Express had 53% of the ball to URA's 47%, shots finished 4-10.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Express had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Express and 0.33 for URA.
What was the final score of Express vs URA?
Express 1-2 URA in the Uganda - Premier League on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Express vs URA?
Before kick-off our model rated a Express win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Express 35%, draw 30%, URA 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.