Falkirk 0-2 Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 13 Dec 2025

Falkirk
0-2 HT 0-1
Hearts
📅13/12/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2025/2026

Falkirk vs Hearts Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
50%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.46
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
3.34
6+ Goals
10%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 32% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.54
1/2
8%
23.55
1/X
6%
14.75
X/1
8%
8.54
X/2
17%
4.53
X/X
12%
5.04
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
26%
2.45
2/X
6%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+2.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
50%
Away Win
51%
-0.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.0pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Falkirk v Hearts — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Falkirk EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Hearts EU Bookmakers 55%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +9%
0.86/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.03
-19% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
301 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.5
23.0 Crosses 23.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3

Falkirk vs Hearts Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Falkirk
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Hearts
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.65 xG 1.68
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
376 Passes 324
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 46
9 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
27.09.2025 Hearts Hearts 3-0 HT 2-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKP
17.08.2024 Falkirk Falkirk 2-0 HT 0-0 Hearts Hearts İKLK
08.02.2020 Falkirk Falkirk 0-1 HT 0-0 Hearts Hearts İKK
21.03.2015 Falkirk Falkirk 0-3 HT 0-1 Hearts Hearts İKCL
24.01.2015 Hearts Hearts 2-3 HT 1-1 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
15.11.2014 Falkirk Falkirk 1-2 HT 0-2 Hearts Hearts İKCL

Falkirk 0-2 Hearts — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Falkirk
0-2
AWAY Hearts
1.03 xG 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
281 Passes 327
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
11 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Falkirk vs Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hearts beat Falkirk 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hearts as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Falkirk had 47% of the ball to Hearts's 53%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 1.03 to 1.50.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hearts led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Falkirk and 1.83 for Hearts.

What was the final score of Falkirk vs Hearts?

Falkirk 0-2 Hearts in the Scotland - Premiership on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Falkirk vs Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Falkirk 26%, draw 23%, Hearts 50%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hearts), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hearts) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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