Hearts 3-0 Falkirk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 27 Sep 2025

Hearts
3-0 HT 2-0
Falkirk
📅27/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2025/2026

Hearts vs Falkirk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.1
Over 2.5
59%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.12
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
3.1
6+ Goals
12%
9.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.88
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.6
X/1
13%
4.04
X/2
8%
11.55
X/X
10%
6.1
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
21.05
2/2
7%
9.2
2/X
8%
17.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.05 — our 11% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-5.2pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.6pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.4pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hearts v Falkirk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hearts EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Falkirk EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +16%
2.05/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.52
+7% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +13%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
369 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
25.4 Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards –

Hearts vs Falkirk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hearts
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Falkirk
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
The Meetings
17.08.2024 Falkirk Falkirk 2-0 HT 0-0 Hearts Hearts İKLK
08.02.2020 Falkirk Falkirk 0-1 HT 0-0 Hearts Hearts İKK
21.03.2015 Falkirk Falkirk 0-3 HT 0-1 Hearts Hearts İKCL
24.01.2015 Hearts Hearts 2-3 HT 1-1 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
15.11.2014 Falkirk Falkirk 1-2 HT 0-2 Hearts Hearts İKCL
30.08.2014 Hearts Hearts 4-1 HT 3-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL

Hearts 3-0 Falkirk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hearts
3-0
AWAY Falkirk
1.68 xG 0.65
48% Ball Possession 52%
20 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
324 Passes 376
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
46 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hearts vs Falkirk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hearts ran out comfortable winners over Falkirk 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hearts as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Hearts had 48% of the ball to Falkirk's 52%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 1.68 to 0.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hearts had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hearts and 1.17 for Falkirk.

What was the final score of Hearts vs Falkirk?

Hearts 3-0 Falkirk in the Scotland - Premiership on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hearts vs Falkirk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Hearts 56%, draw 23%, Falkirk 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hearts), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hearts) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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