Motherwell 2-0 Aberdeen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.9
2-3 Goals
37%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
3.21
6+ Goals
13%
10.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.78
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
17%
4.88
X/2
11%
7.14
X/X
7%
5.16
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.0
2/2
14%
4.98
2/X
9%
13.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.0 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+0.9pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.3pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.5pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motherwell EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -24%
1.44/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.76
+7% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -23%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 72%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
22.2 Crosses 20.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motherwell
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Aberdeen
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.19 xG 1.53
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
252 Passes 390
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 31
20 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2025 Aberdeen Aberdeen 0-1 HT 0-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKLK
29.03.2025 Aberdeen Aberdeen 4-1 HT 2-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
05.01.2025 Motherwell Motherwell 2-0 HT 2-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
14.09.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 2-1 HT 1-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
27.04.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-0 HT 0-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
16.03.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 0-1 HT 0-1 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Motherwell
2-0
AWAY Aberdeen
2.03 xG 1.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
561 Passes 290
91% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Motherwell vs Aberdeen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motherwell got the better of Aberdeen 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Motherwell as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Motherwell had 63% of the ball to Aberdeen's 37%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 2.03 to 1.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aberdeen led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Motherwell and 1.33 for Aberdeen.

What was the final score of Motherwell vs Aberdeen?

Motherwell 2-0 Aberdeen in the Scotland - Premiership on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motherwell vs Aberdeen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motherwell win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Motherwell 47%, draw 22%, Aberdeen 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motherwell) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Motherwell) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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