Aberdeen 0-1 Motherwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.72
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
2.94
6+ Goals
10%
9.42
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72 — our 28% vs market 20.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.37
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.15
X/1
15%
4.5
X/2
9%
8.27
X/X
11%
5.32
2/1
10%
21.5
2/2
12%
6.05
2/X
7%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-1.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.5pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Motherwell EU Bookmakers 28%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.47/0.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.26/1.29
-7% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -79% / +24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberdeen
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Motherwell
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.51 xG 1.42
59% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
390 Passes 250
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
31 Box Touches 20
26 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Aberdeen Aberdeen 4-1 HT 2-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
05.01.2025 Motherwell Motherwell 2-0 HT 2-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
14.09.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 2-1 HT 1-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
27.04.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-0 HT 0-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
16.03.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 0-1 HT 0-1 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
14.02.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 3-3 HT 2-3 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
POST-MATCH Aberdeen vs Motherwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motherwell edged past Aberdeen 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Aberdeen at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aberdeen had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Aberdeen and 1.17 for Motherwell.

What was the final score of Aberdeen vs Motherwell?

Aberdeen 0-1 Motherwell in the Scotland - League Cup on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aberdeen vs Motherwell?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aberdeen win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Aberdeen 50%, draw 23%, Motherwell 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aberdeen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aberdeen) ✓ Under 2.5
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