Aberdeen vs Motherwell Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aberdeen v Motherwell — Team-Based Signals
Aberdeen vs Motherwell Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-4
HT 0-2
Aberdeen
İKP
3-1
HT 1-0
Motherwell
İKP
1-2
HT 0-1
Aberdeen
İKP
2-3
HT 1-1
Motherwell
İKP
Aberdeen 1-0 Motherwell — Actual Match Statistics
Aberdeen squeezed past Motherwell 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Aberdeen found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Aberdeen had 60% of the ball to Motherwell's 40%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 2.32 to 0.41 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Aberdeen's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aberdeen had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Aberdeen and 1.67 for Motherwell.
What was the final score of Aberdeen vs Motherwell?
Aberdeen 1-0 Motherwell in the Scotland - Premiership on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aberdeen vs Motherwell?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aberdeen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Aberdeen 39%, draw 28%, Motherwell 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aberdeen) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.