Kilmarnock 0-0 Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 27 Apr 2024

Kilmarnock
0-0 HT 0-0
Hearts
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2023/2024

Kilmarnock vs Hearts Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.12
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.76
6+ Goals
8%
16.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 30% vs market 26.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.16
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
14%
4.89
X/2
9%
6.36
X/X
12%
4.39
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
18%
4.6
2/X
7%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.8pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kilmarnock v Hearts — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hearts EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.47/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.41
+19% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
260 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 63%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
23.8 Crosses 16.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4

Kilmarnock vs Hearts Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kilmarnock
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Hearts
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.42 xG 1.16
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
199 Passes 351
66% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.03.2024 Hearts Hearts 1-1 HT 1-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
02.12.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 0-1 HT 0-1 Hearts Hearts İKP
26.09.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-2 HT 0-1 Hearts Hearts İKLK
13.08.2023 Hearts Hearts 0-0 HT 0-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
01.04.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-1 HT 2-1 Hearts Hearts İKP
17.12.2022 Hearts Hearts 3-1 HT 2-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP

Kilmarnock 0-0 Hearts — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kilmarnock
0-0
AWAY Hearts
0.89 xG 1.91
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
282 Passes 388
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 25
25 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kilmarnock vs Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kilmarnock and Hearts fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Kilmarnock at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kilmarnock had 45% of the ball to Hearts's 55%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 0.89 to 1.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hearts led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kilmarnock and 1.33 for Hearts.

What was the final score of Kilmarnock vs Hearts?

Kilmarnock 0-0 Hearts in the Scotland - Premiership on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kilmarnock vs Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kilmarnock win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kilmarnock 41%, draw 27%, Hearts 32%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kilmarnock) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kilmarnock) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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